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Tim in Scotland



Member Since: 30 May 2005
Location: Driving along in my automobile
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2013 Range Rover Sport SDV6 HSE Stornoway Grey
Oil Prices...................

Serious business: With the ar*e falling out of the American banking system this morning what do we think will happen to the oil price?
I reckon that any further fall in the dollar is likely to be used to really hike the price - my local garage is already charging £1.29 a litre for diesel (since last Friday) could we be looking at the £2 litre before the end of the week? 2020 Pangea Green 1st Edition D240 New Defender 110 is here and loving it
2018 Melting Silver Mini Countryman PHEV - soon to be replaced
2015MY Corris Grey SDv6 HSE Dynamic, the best car I have ever owned, totally reliable only a cou0le of rattles in 3 years, now no longer in my care
Also in my garage is a 1996 TDi300 Defender 90 County HT made into a fake CSW

Post #160037 Mon Mar 17 2008 9:32am
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shmoogle



Member Since: 07 Sep 2005
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It'll have greater ramifications than just the oil markets I suspect. Tends to be that whatever economic ripples occur in the US economy become larger waves once they reach our shores. We could be in for a rocky old time of it Sad 

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Post #160046 Mon Mar 17 2008 10:24am
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Steve in germany



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The Fed will do what they did last year, through a Censored load of reserve money at it and hope it goes away, the UK will probaly be sucked in this time Speed Limits! not where I live!

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Post #160089 Mon Mar 17 2008 12:05pm
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shmoogle



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Did I hear JPM were buying out Bear Sterns for a paltry sum? 

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Post #160100 Mon Mar 17 2008 12:22pm
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Tim in Scotland



Member Since: 30 May 2005
Location: Driving along in my automobile
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2013 Range Rover Sport SDV6 HSE Stornoway Grey

Depends what you mean by paltry S, they got Behr Stern for something like $230million............................ could buy a lot of fuel for a TDV8 with that much 2020 Pangea Green 1st Edition D240 New Defender 110 is here and loving it
2018 Melting Silver Mini Countryman PHEV - soon to be replaced
2015MY Corris Grey SDv6 HSE Dynamic, the best car I have ever owned, totally reliable only a cou0le of rattles in 3 years, now no longer in my care
Also in my garage is a 1996 TDi300 Defender 90 County HT made into a fake CSW

Post #160115 Mon Mar 17 2008 12:57pm
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shmoogle



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But for an entire investment bank, that's not bad! 

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Post #160119 Mon Mar 17 2008 1:01pm
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Tim in Scotland



Member Since: 30 May 2005
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2013 Range Rover Sport SDV6 HSE Stornoway Grey

Especially as they also got guarantees on something like $30 billion of Behr Sterns Subprime debts!

Making money out of selling mortgages to folks who had no money in the first place must have seemed like a good idea at the time! 2020 Pangea Green 1st Edition D240 New Defender 110 is here and loving it
2018 Melting Silver Mini Countryman PHEV - soon to be replaced
2015MY Corris Grey SDv6 HSE Dynamic, the best car I have ever owned, totally reliable only a cou0le of rattles in 3 years, now no longer in my care
Also in my garage is a 1996 TDi300 Defender 90 County HT made into a fake CSW

Post #160121 Mon Mar 17 2008 1:02pm
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Tim in Scotland



Member Since: 30 May 2005
Location: Driving along in my automobile
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2013 Range Rover Sport SDV6 HSE Stornoway Grey

S, just heard on the lunchtime news that Behr Stern's shares fell from $200 each to $2 (junk bond status??) on Friday, I suppose JPM bought at the fire sale price! There will be a lot of folks in the US who are now having to completely reconsider their pension arrangements because their system relies a lot more on private investment than we do here, and shares in something like Behr Stern would have been considered a good investment up to Friday! 2020 Pangea Green 1st Edition D240 New Defender 110 is here and loving it
2018 Melting Silver Mini Countryman PHEV - soon to be replaced
2015MY Corris Grey SDv6 HSE Dynamic, the best car I have ever owned, totally reliable only a cou0le of rattles in 3 years, now no longer in my care
Also in my garage is a 1996 TDi300 Defender 90 County HT made into a fake CSW

Post #160135 Mon Mar 17 2008 1:16pm
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JayMann



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Post #160137 Mon Mar 17 2008 1:18pm
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shmoogle



Member Since: 07 Sep 2005
Location: ... and for every sprinkle I find, I shall kill you!
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I worked for a company during the dotcom crash where that happened to their stocks. There was a point where we were all paper millionaires (not including the mandatory vesting period for the stock we'd been given), but then 3 months later, stocks took a similar tumble into the "few cents" territory. That wasn't the most enjoyable feeling, I can tell you Sad 

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Post #160138 Mon Mar 17 2008 1:19pm
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Tim in Scotland



Member Since: 30 May 2005
Location: Driving along in my automobile
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2013 Range Rover Sport SDV6 HSE Stornoway Grey

A friend of mine is now having to think about going back to w*rk because of the amount of money he lost as a shareholder of Northern Rock....... it seemed too good to be true when he invested (like all of these get rich quick schemes, they can also make you poorer pretty quickly too!). Not that it is really causing him hardship - he can still afford to have a 40ft sailboat here and another in the Chesapeke bay and to fly business class back and forward every 3-4 months to go sailing. 2020 Pangea Green 1st Edition D240 New Defender 110 is here and loving it
2018 Melting Silver Mini Countryman PHEV - soon to be replaced
2015MY Corris Grey SDv6 HSE Dynamic, the best car I have ever owned, totally reliable only a cou0le of rattles in 3 years, now no longer in my care
Also in my garage is a 1996 TDi300 Defender 90 County HT made into a fake CSW

Post #160147 Mon Mar 17 2008 1:25pm
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PauloAmore



Member Since: 27 Jan 2007
Location: Bonnie Scotland
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Scotland 
Re: Oil Prices...................

Tim in Scotland wrote:
Serious business: With the ar*e falling out of the American banking system this morning what do we think will happen to the oil price?
I reckon that any further fall in the dollar is likely to be used to really hike the price - my local garage is already charging £1.29 a litre for diesel (since last Friday) could we be looking at the £2 litre before the end of the week?


£2 a litre by the end of the week... I'd bet everything on that not happening this year. And I think things will get better. Especially if the US recession continues / starts (depends on your opinion). If it spreads to Europe, oil will et cheaper still.

Remember. 75% on our fuel is tax, so we'd need a doubling of tax to get us even in the ballpark and I figure that wouldn't happen. A massive drop in the dollar wouldn't do it either. It has been to $2.5 to the pound before but remeber, Sterling is in the shi**er too so I don't think that will happen again anytime soon. Sterling is being flattered by the $. Big time.

£1.29 - holy sh**.... Aberdeen has been sheltered from those kind of prices.

That said, I'm a contrarian investor. But sometimes it just pays to go with the flow. Tech / gold / oil whatever... 2022 P440e AB

Post #160206 Mon Mar 17 2008 2:33pm
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PauloAmore



Member Since: 27 Jan 2007
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Tim in Scotland wrote:
A friend of mine is now having to think about going back to w*rk because of the amount of money he lost as a shareholder of Northern Rock....... it seemed too good to be true when he invested (like all of these get rich quick schemes, they can also make you poorer pretty quickly too!). Not that it is really causing him hardship - he can still afford to have a 40ft sailboat here and another in the Chesapeke bay and to fly business class back and forward every 3-4 months to go sailing.


That is bad news... Just surprised he'd have so much of his portfolio in one place. He sounds a smart guy in the first place....(to get where he got) 2022 P440e AB

Post #160208 Mon Mar 17 2008 2:34pm
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Alicatt



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SWMBO was telling me last night that diseasel had gone up from €1.06 to €1.29 from friday to sunday over in Belgium.
Still waiting for money coming from Northern Rock too .... Shocked
I had some investments in Oil over in the US, their share price has done really well too, but, the dollar being so weak has almost wiped out the gains I was making (in 2 years the dollar value almost doubled) Still, I've made a profit, but not as large as I would have liked. Sons of dogs come hither and get flesh
Clan Cameron

Post #160247 Mon Mar 17 2008 4:26pm
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lemm



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apparently the purchase price for Behr Stern is less than the real estate value of the head office... RRS First Edition S/C, Vesuvius Orange, Rear Entertainment, Alpine TUE-T200DV, Stormer Alloys. (+ 19" MTR's for playing in the snow!)

Post #160312 Mon Mar 17 2008 9:40pm
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